Elliott Wave and Technical Analysis for Nifty

Let us take a look at the Probability as of now. 

Technical Analysis for Nifty

For the whole Month of April till now the range of Nifty is just apprx. 200 points even with important events as Results and RBI policy etc gone by . It may be making most traders uncomfortable as this sideways , low range and low volume Market tends to whipsaws all trading systems. Below are some charts with observations.

Dialling Wrong Numbers

Nifty closes below Daily S3

When Nifty index closes below Support level 3 on Monday

With a decline of  88.5  points (1.66 %) , and Nifty index closing below Support level 3 , no doubt it is terrible start to the week for S&P Nifty index. We looked at the instances when Nifty index closes below Support level 3 ( as calculated with classic pivot formula ) , what is the likely-hood of weekly closing.  Below is the table of all the prior instances where Monday saw a close below S3 level and the Nifty index change for the reminder of the week. This is 18th instance where Nifty had closed below S3 level at the start of the week. The average change for the remainder of the week stands at 1.58%. with 13 out of the 17 trades giving profits when went long at close.

Courtesy : Stocksiq

Nifty in 2012 . Is it the 'CheckMate' Year ??

Please read this Post in continuation with the Broader perspective shared at the last Analytical Write up - CLICK HERE , where the Bearish Insight was presented. As I was going through the Year end data and charts , few more things corelating with that view caught  'The Third Eye' . 

' My Trading Diary ' Updated