This time frame corresponds to the view for a Year and more.
The Moving Averages are lagging in nature but definitive Indicators as they are derived directly from Prices and hence represent the function of Price better than any other Indicator.
Prices are trading below the 200dma mark .Since March 2009 there have been three occasions when prices were near or below this mark .The first was a near touch and go ,second was a whipsaw and now third looks to have some pain in store.
The Indicators in Monthly charts are showing weakness for the first time since this upmove began in March '09. In all the corrections before, the indicators were steady in overbought region . The Journey down has began.
The Long Term scenario suggests that it may be years before we see a new top now and prices may consolidate in a range with higher bottoms in the down waves (C & E) of a larger A-B-C-D-E pattern. Plan the investments accordingly.