Thursday, September 23, 2010

EOD

As expected there is some correction/pullback in the 4th wave and it is probably in it's 'c' subwave . This wave may be in its last leg and ( if have not ended today ) can end in the first half of tomorrow's trading ,with the final wave, 5th, of this upmove unfolding.




5900 level looks like a good support from where a bounce for the next move up can be expected.

- 5d Volume Profile shows good support at 5890 level.

- Option Analysis shows 5900 strike puts having O.I. of apprx. 95 lacs giving good support. Even 6000 strike puts have somewhat larger O.I. than calls at same strike suggesting bullishness.

- Apprx. 5905 level is the 5d low ema and apprx. 5915 is 7dema , from where bounce can be expected.

-Volumes in today's fall were lower than volumes during previous trading days of upmove ,suggesting that this may only be a pullback before next upmove.


5 comments:

Hari said...

Nice Analysis.. Vot is the probable target of this final wave, 5th??

AAR VEE said...

Hi Hari,

5th normally goes above the 3rd ,it can also end truncated or as a failure near 3rd.lets see where 4th ends ,it may equate at least 1st in price i.e. 165 points and can move further in fibo. extensions ratios.

Hari said...

Point noted Arvee.. Closed my puts in the morning bought 6000ce.. Where this B wave will stop?6100 or 6250+

alphabet1 said...

AAR VEE,

Great going. While searching for mark galasiewski interview on ET NOW on Friday Sept 24 morning show, i came across very educative Elliot Wave counts. Worth a look.

JUST TELL ME WHEN THE RETRACEMENT WILL COME, if you can !!

http://www.ibtimes.com/news/63015/20100916/forex/elliott-wave/elliott-wave-forex-education-learn-to-trade.htm

http://stockk4sure.blogspot.com/2010/05/mark-galasiewski.html

an older article

http://www.mudraa.com/trading/64758/0/nifty-target-aareskay-discussion.html

AAR VEE said...

@ Hari
c- 4th was on and as suspected had ended near 5930 levels.

we are in the 5th now ,the final upmove since 5350

@ alpha 1

thanks for the links.pl. keep sharing the useful inputs.

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